CLE 120-109 IND, November 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat IND 120-109, and CLE's shots were worth 124.3 points to IND's 120.6.

CLE 120-109 IND, November 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CLE8999103.821/2720.5120124.3
IND8885100.324/2620.3109120.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.