SAS 108-109 GSW, November 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat SAS 109-108, and GSW's shots were worth 119.0 points to SAS's 113.5.

SAS 108-109 GSW, November 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	85	92	98.6	16/19	14.9	108	113.5
GSW	90	93	103.4	16/18	15.6	109	119.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.