DAL 127-133 LAC, November 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat DAL 133-127, but DAL's shots were worth 137.8 points to LAC's 130.1.

DAL 127-133 LAC, November 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	99	98	109.6	29/38	28.2	127	137.8
LAC	95	103	101.4	30/36	28.7	133	130.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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