MIL 147-134 CHA, November 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat CHA 147-134, but CHA's shots were worth 132.9 points to MIL's 113.3.

MIL 147-134 CHA, November 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL8513096.717/2216.6147113.3
CHA98111109.723/2923.2134132.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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