MIN 137-97 UTA, November 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Neither side had the better shots. MIN beat UTA 137-97, and the shots on each side were worth 121.4.

MIN 137-97 UTA, November 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	88	117	100.1	20/27	21.2	137	121.4
UTA	94	79	101.8	18/25	19.6	97	121.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.