SAS 121-110 HOU, November 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat HOU 121-110, and SAS's shots were worth 121.8 points to HOU's 110.4.

SAS 121-110 HOU, November 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	87	98	101.9	23/25	19.9	121	121.8
HOU	85	91	94.2	19/21	16.2	110	110.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.