ATL 97-109 TOR, November 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. TOR beat ATL 109-97, but ATL's shots were worth 125.3 points to TOR's 118.3.

ATL 97-109 TOR, November 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	96	75	107.0	22/23	18.2	97	125.3
TOR	91	86	98.8	23/25	19.4	109	118.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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