LAC 126-124 NOP, October 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAC beat NOP 126-124, and LAC's shots were worth 123.7 points to NOP's 113.3.

LAC 126-124 NOP, October 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAC	89	107	106.4	19/21	17.3	126	123.7
NOP	83	98	90.9	26/29	22.4	124	113.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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