POR 109-107 DEN, October 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat DEN 109-107, and POR's shots were worth 129.0 points to DEN's 113.1.

POR 109-107 DEN, October 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	91	87	105.1	22/31	24.0	109	129.0
DEN	79	82	88.4	25/31	24.7	107	113.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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