PHX 118-96 UTA, October 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHX beat UTA 118-96, and PHX's shots were worth 117.1 points to UTA's 117.0.

PHX 118-96 UTA, October 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	91	103	103.4	15/18	13.7	118	117.1
UTA	80	72	90.5	24/32	26.4	96	117.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.