MEM 112-117 LAL, October 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat MEM 117-112, but MEM's shots were worth 116.4 points to LAL's 111.4.

MEM 112-117 LAL, October 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	93	96	100.6	16/19	15.8	112	116.4
LAL	76	91	85.4	26/33	26.0	117	111.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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