IND 108-128 ATL, October 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat IND 128-108, but IND's shots were worth 133.7 points to ATL's 124.8.

IND 108-128 ATL, October 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	99	83	108.5	25/33	25.1	108	133.7
ATL	94	112	108.6	16/20	16.2	128	124.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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