ATL 110-112 MIL, January 19, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat ATL 112-110, but ATL's shots were worth 128.8 points to MIL's 105.7.

ATL 110-112 MIL, January 19, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	96	90	109.6	20/24	19.3	110	128.8
MIL	79	94	87.3	18/25	18.4	112	105.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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