GSW 126-116 DAL, December 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat DAL 126-116, and GSW's shots were worth 132.9 points to DAL's 107.5.

GSW 126-116 DAL, December 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	99	102	111.2	24/26	21.7	126	132.9
DAL	89	102	91.0	14/21	16.5	116	107.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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