GSW 137-131 DEN, October 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat DEN 137-131, and GSW's shots were worth 124.4 points to DEN's 108.5.

GSW 137-131 DEN, October 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	99	118	103.5	19/25	20.9	137	124.4
DEN	95	118	97.3	13/14	11.2	131	108.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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