IND 135-141 OKC, October 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. OKC beat IND 141-135, but IND's shots were worth 138.8 points to OKC's 137.7.

IND 135-141 OKC, October 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IND105105106.830/4032.0135138.8
OKC959695.345/5142.4141137.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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