LAL 109-119 GSW, October 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat LAL 119-109, and GSW's shots were worth 111.2 points to LAL's 103.0.

LAL 109-119 GSW, October 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	77	92	80.5	17/28	22.5	109	103.0
GSW	78	93	86.7	26/29	24.5	119	111.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.