OKC 125-124 HOU, October 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat HOU 125-124, and OKC's shots were worth 133.2 points to HOU's 123.6.

OKC 125-124 HOU, October 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	104	105	112.5	20/25	20.7	125	133.2
HOU	97	97	100.8	27/31	22.7	124	123.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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