OKC 111-96 HOU, December 14, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. OKC beat HOU 111-96, but HOU's shots were worth 120.7 points to OKC's 113.0.

OKC 111-96 HOU, December 14, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	80	83	86.7	28/32	26.3	111	113.0
HOU	96	81	102.1	15/25	18.6	96	120.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.