MIL 110-102 ATL, December 14, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat ATL 110-102, and MIL's shots were worth 114.4 points to ATL's 112.7.

MIL 110-102 ATL, December 14, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	86	92	95.3	18/27	19.1	110	114.4
ATL	82	80	85.5	22/34	27.2	102	112.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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