GSW 133-143 DAL, December 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat GSW 143-133, but GSW's shots were worth 119.7 points to DAL's 113.5.

GSW 133-143 DAL, December 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	103	125	111.7	8/11	8.0	133	119.7
DAL	87	125	93.4	18/25	20.1	143	113.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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