ORL 91-100 NYK, December 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. NYK beat ORL 100-91, but ORL's shots were worth 102.8 points to NYK's 99.6.

ORL 91-100 NYK, December 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ORL868193.210/139.691102.8
NYK717675.524/3024.110099.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.