No. NYK beat ORL 100-91, but ORL's shots were worth 102.8 points to NYK's 99.6.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL | 86 | 81 | 93.2 | 10/13 | 9.6 | 91 | 102.8 |
| NYK | 71 | 76 | 75.5 | 24/30 | 24.1 | 100 | 99.6 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.