TOR 121-122 CHI, December 16, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHI beat TOR 122-121, and CHI's shots were worth 133.1 points to TOR's 127.0.

TOR 121-122 CHI, December 16, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
TOR9299104.622/3022.5121127.0
CHI93100110.722/2822.4122133.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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