CHA 108-121 PHI, December 16, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. PHI beat CHA 121-108, but CHA's shots were worth 112.7 points to PHI's 106.2.

CHA 108-121 PHI, December 16, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	83	96	96.0	12/21	16.7	108	112.7
PHI	80	98	81.7	23/30	24.4	121	106.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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