PHX 116-109 POR, December 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat POR 116-109, but POR's shots were worth 114.0 points to PHX's 106.6.

PHX 116-109 POR, December 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	89	101	90.9	15/19	15.7	116	106.6
POR	94	99	103.6	10/13	10.3	109	114.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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