IND 119-104 NOP, December 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat NOP 119-104, but NOP's shots were worth 119.7 points to IND's 107.0.

IND 119-104 NOP, December 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	81	98	88.0	21/24	19.0	119	107.0
NOP	97	86	101.7	18/23	18.0	104	119.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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