POR 116-118 SAS, December 13, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat POR 118-116, and SAS's shots were worth 106.1 points to POR's 100.3.

POR 116-118 SAS, December 13, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	82	100	86.1	16/17	14.3	116	100.3
SAS	85	102	89.6	16/21	16.5	118	106.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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