DEN 120-98 LAC, December 13, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat LAC 120-98, and DEN's shots were worth 116.0 points to LAC's 111.5.

DEN 120-98 LAC, December 13, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DEN779491.026/3225.0120116.0
LAC838897.310/1814.198111.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.