PHI 107-121 IND, December 13, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat PHI 121-107, and IND's shots were worth 116.9 points to PHI's 116.7.

PHI 107-121 IND, December 13, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	85	84	91.0	23/32	25.8	107	116.7
IND	91	108	103.8	13/17	13.2	121	116.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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