NOP 109-111 SAC, December 12, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat NOP 111-109, and SAC's shots were worth 122.1 points to NOP's 105.7.

NOP 109-111 SAC, December 12, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	83	92	90.0	17/20	15.7	109	105.7
SAC	92	84	98.8	27/29	23.4	111	122.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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