MIA 114-104 TOR, December 12, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat TOR 114-104, and MIA's shots were worth 123.7 points to TOR's 118.4.

MIA 114-104 TOR, December 12, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	83	93	98.1	21/32	25.6	114	123.7
TOR	92	93	107.1	11/15	11.3	104	118.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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