BOS 123-99 DET, December 12, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat DET 123-99, but DET's shots were worth 110.2 points to BOS's 110.1.

BOS 123-99 DET, December 12, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	90	112	99.8	11/13	10.2	123	110.1
DET	98	91	102.6	8/10	7.7	99	110.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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