HOU 91-90 GSW, December 11, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat GSW 91-90, and HOU's shots were worth 99.3 points to GSW's 96.7.

HOU 91-90 GSW, December 11, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	83	82	92.0	9/10	7.3	91	99.3
GSW	84	86	90.4	4/9	6.3	90	96.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.