OKC 118-104 DAL, December 10, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat DAL 118-104, and OKC's shots were worth 113.6 points to DAL's 103.1.

OKC 118-104 DAL, December 10, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
OKC101112107.86/75.8118113.6
DAL809188.513/1914.6104103.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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