GSW 119-124 LAC, April 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAC beat GSW 124-119, and LAC's shots were worth 103.2 points to GSW's 102.4.

GSW 119-124 LAC, April 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
GSW7910182.918/2319.5119102.4
LAC8611088.314/1814.9124103.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.