SAS 125-118 TOR, April 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAS beat TOR 125-118, but TOR's shots were worth 124.4 points to SAS's 118.8.

SAS 125-118 TOR, April 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	84	97	94.0	28/32	24.7	125	118.8
TOR	97	106	112.5	12/16	11.9	118	124.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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