MEM 132-97 DAL, April 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat DAL 132-97, and MEM's shots were worth 136.8 points to DAL's 115.9.

MEM 132-97 DAL, April 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MEM104119125.213/1511.6132136.8
DAL878199.216/2216.797115.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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