MIL 140-133 DET, April 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat DET 140-133, but DET's shots were worth 126.9 points to MIL's 110.4.

MIL 140-133 DET, April 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	86	123	93.5	17/22	16.9	140	110.4
DET	107	124	116.0	9/14	10.9	133	126.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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