MIA 118-119 WAS, April 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. WAS beat MIA 119-118, but MIA's shots were worth 126.1 points to WAS's 109.4.

MIA 118-119 WAS, April 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	98	108	117.0	10/12	9.1	118	126.1
WAS	90	108	96.8	11/17	12.6	119	109.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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