CLE 118-126 IND, April 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat CLE 126-118, and IND's shots were worth 158.3 points to CLE's 143.1.

CLE 118-126 IND, April 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	115	106	127.4	12/22	15.8	118	143.1
IND	119	106	141.4	20/22	17.0	126	158.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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