LAL 140-109 HOU, April 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAL beat HOU 140-109, and LAL's shots were worth 115.9 points to HOU's 107.6.

LAL 140-109 HOU, April 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAL8712596.715/2519.3140115.9
HOU9010098.39/129.3109107.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.