SAC 100-101 LAC, April 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat SAC 101-100, but SAC's shots were worth 93.8 points to LAC's 87.0.

SAC 100-101 LAC, April 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	85	84	79.8	16/17	14.0	100	93.8
LAC	78	87	72.3	14/18	14.7	101	87.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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