POR 86-103 GSW, April 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat POR 103-86, and GSW's shots were worth 109.3 points to POR's 106.4.

POR 86-103 GSW, April 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	85	70	90.9	16/22	15.5	86	106.4
GSW	83	80	88.0	23/28	21.3	103	109.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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