UTA 111-145 OKC, April 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. OKC beat UTA 145-111, but UTA's shots were worth 124.2 points to OKC's 111.0.

UTA 111-145 OKC, April 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	103	95	107.9	16/20	16.3	111	124.2
OKC	100	136	100.8	9/13	10.2	145	111.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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