DEN 117-109 MEM, April 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat MEM 117-109, and DEN's shots were worth 132.1 points to MEM's 109.0.

DEN 117-109 MEM, April 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	91	93	107.8	24/31	24.3	117	132.1
MEM	91	96	94.1	13/19	14.9	109	109.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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