DAL 124-102 TOR, April 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat TOR 124-102, but TOR's shots were worth 124.7 points to DAL's 113.6.

DAL 124-102 TOR, April 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	89	113	100.9	11/17	12.8	124	113.6
TOR	100	91	111.2	11/18	13.6	102	124.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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