NYK 102-108 CLE, April 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat NYK 108-102, but NYK's shots were worth 115.6 points to CLE's 113.2.

NYK 102-108 CLE, April 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NYK	88	88	99.6	14/20	16.0	102	115.6
CLE	77	87	90.4	21/30	22.8	108	113.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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