DET 119-125 MIL, April 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat DET 125-119, and MIL's shots were worth 111.9 points to DET's 102.8.

DET 119-125 MIL, April 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	93	110	89.2	9/18	13.6	119	102.8
MIL	94	103	92.6	22/27	19.3	125	111.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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