IND 114-112 CLE, April 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat CLE 114-112, and IND's shots were worth 113.9 points to CLE's 109.0.

IND 114-112 CLE, April 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	93	100	97.7	14/20	16.2	114	113.9
CLE	98	103	99.2	9/13	9.7	112	109.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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