DET 115-106 NYK, April 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat NYK 115-106, but NYK's shots were worth 106.8 points to DET's 106.7.

DET 115-106 NYK, April 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DET8210292.713/1814.0115106.7
NYK909595.511/1411.2106106.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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